date：2023-09-16 20:01:06 click：300times
NFL Week 1 has come to a close. Of all the games played, 12 went under the total and 7 ended up as 1-point games. Low scoring, tight games make for a good teaser week. Here are the options for Week 2. Grades: 1-0
If you are new to betting on NFL teasers or need a refresher, here are some general guidelines to follow to limit your risk.
Stick to 6-point teasers (you need to win more consistently to offset the higher prices).
Stick to 2-team teasers (the more pieces you add, the greater the risk).
Target low-total games (the more points expected, the greater the variability).
tease out the key numbers 3 and 7 (this approach is at the heart of a proven winning strategy).
Titans 8.5 vs. Chargers, 45.5
Packers 7.5 vs. Falcons, 40
Colts 7 vs. Texans 39
Bears 8.5 at Buccaneers, 40.5
Bills -2.5 vs Raiders, 47
Steelers 8.5 vs Browns, 38.5
Although tempting, avoid using Buffalo in a 2-team, 6-point teaser; for one, it is a personal preference not to favor the favorite if the teaser juice is at a premium. In addition, it has the highest point total of the listed choices, which adds an element of risk. LB Von Miller, who led the team in sacks last season, could be a definite factor in his absence. Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, now 41-17 in his starting career, completed 88% of his passes when pressured in Week 1.
Without Aaron Rodgers, the Packers defeated the Bears 38-20 in Week 1. Green Bay's defense gave up 4 sacks, 1 interception, and 1 fumble; with multiple injuries, including LB Rashan Gary, it is dangerous to root for the Packers this week. The Falcons' rushing offense (54% rushing percentage) should have a good run on Green Bay's rushing defense, which ranked 26th against the run last season.
Chicago quarterback Justin Fields had the seventh-best passer rating against the Blitz last season. In Week 1 against the Packers, Fields was 9 of 11 against the blitz for 8.7 yards per pass and one additional touchdown. The Bucks defense had the highest blitz rate in the league in Week 1. If the Bucks stick to this defensive scheme, Fields could have a big game. Not to mention, Tampa Bay was 0-6 against mobile quarterbacks and/or run-heavy offenses last season, allowing 30 or more rushing yards to three quarterbacks and a team average of 194 rushing yards in those losses.
The Titans have the best 6-point teaser record; they were 12-5 last season and 36-14 over the last three years. You favor Tennessee because of its defense. That's because the Titans' defense ranks 10th in opponent points per play for the second year in a row. In Week 1, they had four sacks and one interception. Something similar could happen this week against the Chargers as the offense could be without RB Austin Ekeler. If he misses, Herbert's target depth will be limited to 7.2 yards. If Ekeler is sidelined, there will be more passes downfield, which opens up the possibility of sacks (holding the ball too long to find the open man downfield) and interceptions. Last year against the Titans, Herbert had 0 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and 3 sacks; a repeat is possible.
.TAGS: